Will there be a military coup in the United States before 2029?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.9%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 31 minutes
26 janv. 24, 01:40 UTC1 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Some political commentators have expressed the possibility of a military coup, if Donald Trump is elected in 2024.
- Will one occur?
- The coup does not need to be successful, it just needs to have military support and be significant enough that multiple major news sources (eg.
- CNN, Fox, NYT) have reported on it and referred to it as a coup or similar.
- This market does not need Donald Trump to have been elected.
