Will there be 100 million famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
One-OffSociety & CultureHealth & Medicine6a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 84.6%
Prévisionnistes
32
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète1 janv. 23, 05:15 UTC31 déc. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be 1 billion famine deaths during the decade 2023 through 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill the decade from 2020 through the end of 2029 become known as the "Warring Twenties"?
Manifold MarketsWill there be less than 350 million people in extreme poverty by 2030?
Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRègles
In 2022-Dec Peter Zeihan claims in a presentation that lots of people will die from famine soon.
- Resolves "Yes" if at the end of 2032, there is credible reporting or data, showing that 100 million people died from famine during the decade from 2023-Jan to 2032-Dec, inclusively.
- This market is partly an open "bet" with @Bioliberalism, and I will be placing trades on this market.
- Click here for a 1bn deaths version of this question.