Will the wild population of the Beijing Loach (Cobitis beijingensis) become extinct by 2100?
ChineOne-OffManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.5%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 mars 25, 10:43 UTC1 janv. 00, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market focuses on the extinction risk of the wild population of the Beijing Loach, a newly discovered species, that is not evaluated by the IUCN yet.
- It will resolve YES, if the species is declared Extinct in the Wild or Extinct by the IUCN by 2100, or earlier.
- It will also resolve YES, if there is other strong evidence in 2100 that the wild population is extinct.
- The market will resolve NO, if there is strong evidence in 2100, that the wild population of the Beijing Loach persists.
- For more information about the species, see:
- https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202502/1329254.shtml
