Will the US establish a clear AI developer liability framework for AI harms by 2028?
IAOne-OffRégulationTech2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 52.9%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 32 minutes
28 avr. 23, 13:56 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve to yes if the US creates a policy by 2028 that clarifies the liability of AI developers for concrete AI harms, particularly clear physical or financial harms, including those resulting from negligent security practices.
- The framework should specifically address the risks from frontier AI models carrying out actions, aiming to incentivize greater investment in safety and security by AI developers.
- Luke Muehlhauser from Open Philanthropy suggests this idea in his April 2023 post, "12 tentative ideas for US AI policy." This market idea was proposed by Michael Chen.
