Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030?
US PoliticsOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussia / Ukraine3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 58.3%
Prévisionnistes
9
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète10 août 25, 22:09 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRègles
The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.
- If the route goes the full length and is in fact controlled by the US (US personal present and in control) this resolves YES.
- A partial route or a route not controlled by the US resolves NO.
- If it's unclear who controls the route, I'll create a poll.
- Context: https://www.reuters.com/world/us-secures-strategic-transit-corridor-armenia-azerbaijan-peace-deal-2025-08-07/
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 58% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will the "Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity" in the Caucasus get built by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The proposed route goes from Azerbaijan through Armenia to Turkey and it's supposed to be controlled by the US.