Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.5%
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète1 mai 25, 12:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will SCOTUS hear a case challenging DOJ's Dec. 2025 update on disparate impact by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
PolymarketWill any court rule that the 2024 election was fraudulent?
KalshiWill any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
KalshiIf Trump self-pardons, will the Supreme Court rule the action unconstitutional?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling that explicitly limits or overturns the application of the "disparate impact" doctrine in any area of law.
- The ruling must be final and not subject to further appeal.
- If no such ruling is issued by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- The "disparate impact" doctrine addresses policies that, while neutral on their face, disproportionately affect individuals belonging to protected classes, such as race, color, national origin, religion, sex, familial status, or disability.
- This legal theory has been recognized in various contexts, including employment and housing discrimination.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-2.0pt13%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt4.8%
+35 résultats de plus
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- 54,7 M €
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POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.1pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 résultats de plus
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 56% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the Supreme Court rule against disparate impact by Dec 31 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria: