KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleNon 91%
Qualite du marche
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidité
15,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
8.2% / 9.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 24 minutes
12 févr. 26, 15:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Yes9%
Comparer les plateformes· No
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 91% | +82pt | 0,9 € | 15,2 k € | il y a 24 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active85% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 93% | +84pt | 26,4 € | 7,4 k € | il y a 4 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
7.0 pts5mo
+0.1pt92.1%
-0.1pt7.9%
58 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenneProche de la résolution
Volume total21,5 k €
Volume 24h26,4 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$13 juil.22j de données28 juil.
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If any federal or state court finds that widespread fraud, fraudulent conduct, or illegal manipulation of ballots or vote counts occurred in connection with the 2020 U.S. presidential election in one or more states before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For clarity, the following do not satisfy this judgment criterion: findings of procedural irregularities, administrative errors, statutory violations related to election administration procedures (e.g., ballot curing deadlines, signature matching standards, observer access), or violations of election law that do not involve intentional fraud or deliberate manipulation of votes.
- Individual criminal prosecutions or guilty pleas for isolated acts of voter fraud (e.g., a single individual casting an illegal ballot) do not satisfy this criterion, even if the conduct occurred in connection with the 2020 election.