Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:51 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 86.6%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 25, 01:03 UTC1 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
When will rocket lab first attempt to re-fly an Electron booster? #Recovery-and-reuse
Manifold MarketsBy when will SpaceX re-fly a space-flown Starship?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of November?
PolymarketTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
PolymarketRègles
[tweet]Judgment will be based on credible reporting.
- Reports solely from SpaceX or Elon will not be sufficient to count, but articles from credible news agencies citing those would be.