Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionMoyen-Orient3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69.1%
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binary
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète21 avr. 23, 13:37 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
The last election was in 2005.
- Future elections have been "postponed indefinitely" by current president Mahmoud Abbas.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Palestinian_presidential_election
- Must be recognized internationally as a valid and fair election for the leadership of the State of Palestine (particularly by the UN and leaders of western nations).
- Doesn't necessarily need to be called a "presidential election".
- Disqualifying some potential candidates (Like Hamas) is ok.