Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionMiddle East3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 69.1%
Prévisionnistes
79
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard21 avr. 23, 13:37 UTC31 déc. 29, 22:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Palestine hold a national election before 2030?
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KalshiRègles
The last election was in 2005.
- Future elections have been "postponed indefinitely" by current president Mahmoud Abbas.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Next_Palestinian_presidential_election
- Must be recognized internationally as a valid and fair election for the leadership of the State of Palestine (particularly by the UN and leaders of western nations).
- Doesn't necessarily need to be called a "presidential election".
- Disqualifying some potential candidates (Like Hamas) is ok.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2029.
- Comment Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The last election was in 2005.