Will the U.S. have a free and fair presidential election in 2028?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection3a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 63.8%
Prévisionnistes
84
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète13 févr. 24, 20:46 UTC8 nov. 29, 05:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Political supporters of both 2024 party frontrunners Donald Trump and Joe Biden have claimed the other candidate is undemocratic in one way or another.
- Many have said the outcome of the 2024 election will determine the fate of American democracy.
- I decided to make this question to put this to the test: How likely do we actually think the end of democracy will occur in the next four years?
- I understand this is an extremely contentious topic so I want to be specific about criteria.
- This question will only resolve YES if the following conditions are met:
- The election has to happen.
