Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 63%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète30 juil. 25, 22:02 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the State of Palestine hold a fair presidential election by 2030?
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FutuurWill the next Japanese national election have a voter turnout above 60%?次の日本の国政選挙の投票率は60%を超えるか？
Manifold MarketsBy 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketRègles
Palestine has not held a presidential election since 2005, and not held a parliamentary election since 2006 (Wikipedia).
- Although there have been local elections, at the national level, Palestine has not held an election in 20 years.
- This question resolves YES if Palestine holds an election recognizably national in character.
- A presidential election would count, a parliamentary election would count, but local elections would not count.
- A presidential or parliamentary election for a large fraction but not all of Palestine (e.g. just the West Bank) would count, if it purports and is widely understood to be a national election for Palestine.
- The election needs merely to have substantively happened, regardless of its quality or results.
