Prévision communautaire actuelle
AI lab 96.9%+16.5pt
Prévisionnistes
63
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+16.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
21 déc. 25, 05:01 UTC31 déc. 99, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the next Millennium Problem be solved by an AI?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of September?
PolymarketThird-best AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Any successful proof seems likely to come from a team that includes both very good mathematicians and advanced AI programs.
- But which vibe will win credit in the public eye?
- It's Google DeepMind, that's an the named outcome.
- If it's Terrence Tao using GPT-6, that's a the named outcome.
- If it's David Budden using Claude, that's an the named outcome.
- If the people involved are professors at a university, that's probably a the named outcome.
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? ?
- Manifold Markets cote AI lab à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2099.
- Comment Will the next Millennium problem be solved by an AI lab or a mathematics department? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Any successful proof seems likely to come from a team that includes both very good mathematicians and advanced AI programs.