Will the next major AI model (GPT-5, Gemini 2.0, etc.) be able to correctly predict this market's resolution?
IAOne-Off1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65.9%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète14 déc. 25, 12:37 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
YES if a major, new AI model (released within 6 months) correctly predicts the final outcome of this specific market when prompted with the market text 90 days after its launch.
- Otherwise, NO.
- Update 2026-01-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the AI model predicts NO, creating a logical paradox where no consistent resolution exists, the creator will resolve the market to N/A (canceling the market and returning all mana to traders).
