Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026?
ChineOne-Off2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard31 mars 26, 16:22 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2027?
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PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days
- Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)
- No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by December 31, 2026
- Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors