Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026?
ChinaOne-Off3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88%
Prévisionnistes
0
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète31 mars 26, 16:22 UTC31 déc. 26, 05:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days
- Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)
- No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by December 31, 2026
- Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.