Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82%
Prévisionnistes
0
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard31 mars 26, 16:22 UTC30 juin 27, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by June 30, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Myanmar junta have conducted airstrikes on Kachin rare earth mining sites by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if, by June 30, 2027, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.
- YES if by June 30, 2027:
- All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days
- Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)
- No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by June 30, 2027
- Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors