Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelley ≥ 2.0% 100%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète20 nov. 25, 18:29 UTC1 févr. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsArgentina inflation rate MoM for October
KalshiSouth Africa inflation rate MoM for October
KalshiWhen will Brazil have a higher MoM inflation rate than Argentina during 2026?
Manifold MarketsEuro area’s inflation rate in 2026
FutuurUS annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurRègles
Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.
- If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
- Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
- Please adjust your prices accordingly.
- Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
- If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.
