Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 11 juin 2026, 17:25 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelley ≥ 2.0% 100%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 44 jours
Obsolète20 nov. 25, 18:291 févr. 27, 23:59
Tendances
100%
100%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
y ≥ 4.5%57%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed Decision in July?
1,8 M €No change: 79%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
39,3 k €Oui: 71%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
9,3 k €Above 3.4%: 29%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike by which date?
6,7 k €October Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
CPI in July
4,7 k €Above -0.1%: 91%KALSHI
KALSHI![Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]](https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/zzq/ajwghjn2s9.jpg)
Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
3,4 k €Republican president, <2%: 23.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRègles
Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.
- If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
- Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
- Please adjust your prices accordingly.
- Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
- If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.