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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Inflation
  3. Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
Manifold Markets

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

Inflation7mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.0% 100%
En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes

18

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

20 nov. 25, 18:291 févr. 27, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.0%
100%
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.5%
100%

Résultat choisi

y ≥ 4.5%57%

Règles

Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.

Manifold Markets
  • If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
  • Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
  • Please adjust your prices accordingly.
  • Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
  • If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Actifs Sensibles au Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,019.68+1.18%EthereumETH$1,633.12+0.56%SolanaSOL$64.38+0.08%

Marchés Associés

How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

22,9 k €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

9 k €
40.0–42.9: 34%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

6,2 k €
6.0%–6.9%: 91%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?

1,3 k €
Oui: 2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Who will be the first trillionaire?

654,2 €
Elon Musk: 99%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
CPI in June

CPI in June

225,9 €
Above 0.2%: 30%KalshiKALSHI

Actifs dans ces sujets

BNBBNB$590.65+0.59%DogecoinDOGE$0.0837-0.13%XRPXRP$1.11-1.01%

Actualités Associées

BlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin price stalls near $64K before key U.S. inflation dataCrypto NewsBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsBlame bitcoin's tumble on rising inflation, not Strategy, 10xResearch arguesCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Règles

Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.

Manifold Markets
  • If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
  • Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
  • Please adjust your prices accordingly.
  • Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
  • If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.