Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? ?

Manifold Markets cote Yes à 82.9% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? sera-t-il résolu ?

Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.

Comment Will the highest-scoring LLM on Dec 31, 2026 show <10% improvement over 2025's best average benchmark performance? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : BASELINE (2025 leader): The current leader as of Aug 2025 appears to be GPT-4.5 with ~90.2% on MMLU, with Claude 4 and Gemini 2.5 Pro at ~85-86%

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Feb 1, 2027+11.0pt94%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt96.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+6.0pt95%

+9 résultats de plus

Volume total

3,5 M €

Volume 24h

278,8 k €

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.8pt88.7%
• Anthropic+1.8pt10.3%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt28%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.8pt22%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.2pt17%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+8.0pt83%
• December 15,+9.0pt82%
• November 30,-2.0pt60%

+9 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-0.1pt55.3%
• Gemini-2.4pt32.1%
• ChatGPT-0.4pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt53.5%
• Google-3.0pt36.4%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

+12 résultats de plus

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