Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 87.1%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 heures
Obsolète7 janv. 23, 21:29 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Great Salt Lake be below 4,188ft at the beginning of 2030
Manifold MarketsWill a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsReal Salt Lake vs. New York City FC
PolymarketReal Salt Lake vs. New York City FC - More Markets
PolymarketSalt Lake vs New York City
KalshiWill Salt Lake City receive a Pro Baseball expansion team before Aug 1, 2027?
KalshiRègles
Resolves NO at the end of 2029 if the lake has not yet dried up.
- For context see https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/06/us/great-salt-lake-disappearing-drought-climate/index.html
Marchés ouverts
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Boston+68.0pt99%
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Chicago+2.0pt99%
+19 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 548,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 508,5 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above+20.0pt95.2%
- 91° to 92°-15.0pt1%
- 89° to 90°-6.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
FORECASTEXWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 97 F on September 9, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Volume total
- 100,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 100,9 k €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Austin on Sep 9, 2026?
- 100° to 101°+55.0pt95.2%
- 98° to 99°-42.0pt1%
- 96° to 97°-10.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Warsaw on September 10?
- 20°C+70.0pt96.1%
- 21°C-4.0pt2.9%
- 19°C-42.3pt1%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Chicago on Sep 9, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+60.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-23.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-30.0pt1%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
- Where will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles (LA)(LAX)(KLAX) exceed 95 F on September 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 87% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves NO at the end of 2029 if the lake has not yet dried up.