Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 60%
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13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète29 mars 24, 20:38 UTC2 janv. 30, 06:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a dust storm pick up material from the Great Salt Lake and cause significant health concerns by 2030?
Manifold MarketsLowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Great Salt Lake dry up by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Salt Lake City get a Major League Baseball team before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAustin vs Salt Lake
KalshiAustin FC vs Real Salt Lake: Correct Score
KalshiRègles
In November 2022 the Great Salt Lake reached its lowest level in recorded history at 4,188.2 feet.
- The water level in the lake has been trending downward for decades.
- There are many concerns for Salt Lake City and Utah if the lake dries up completely like the aral sea did.
- This question will be resolved positively if the USGS reports a water level lower than 4188 on 01/01/2030 at the saltair boat harbor
- https://webapps.usgs.gov/gsl/#:~:text=The%20current%20lake%20level%20is,Lake%20at%20Saltair%20Boat%20Harbor.