Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 55.3%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète7 avr. 24, 05:05 UTC1 janv. 01, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first person to walk on Mars be white?
Manifold MarketsWill the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill the next person to walk on the moon be American?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does?
KalshiSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRègles
If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of athiests
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-person-to-walk-on-ma-cfc56129aa69
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-person-to-walk-on-ma-692eab550745
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,500 or above99%
- $74,250 or above99%
- $73,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 685,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 680,9 k €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 12 - September 14, 2026?
- 65-89+50.5pt56.4%
- 40-64-6.6pt41.6%
- 90-114+1.6pt2%
+7 résultats de plus
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No74.1%
- Yes25.9%
- Volume total
- 303,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 298,8 k €
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 75,000 to 79,999.99+0.4pt13.9%
- 70,000 to 74,999.99+0.4pt12%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+1.7pt12%
+25 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt24.5%
- 200-219+10.0pt24.5%
- 220-239+7.0pt15.7%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $66,000 or above98%
- $67,000 or above98%
- $65,500 or above97%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 452,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 143 k €
- NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Where will it rain on Sep 14, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 14, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 15 - September 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 14, 2026?
- BTC 15 min · $77,736.55 target
- ETH price on Sep 14, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 14 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2101.
- Comment Will the first person to walk on Mars be an Atheist? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If multiple people walk at the same time, resolves to % of athiests