Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 98%
Prévisionnistes
35
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète8 sept. 24, 18:55 UTC1 mars 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the first uncrewed Starship to Mars launch within 2 years as Elon Musk says?
Manifold MarketsWill at least one crewed Starship leave Earth heading for Mars in the 2028/2029 launch window?
Manifold MarketsWill the ExoMars rover launch within its current 2028 baseline window?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketRègles
resolve YES if a crewed starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2028
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-uncrewed-starship-to
- @/strutheo/will-the-first-selfsustaining-base
Marchés ouverts
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2029.
- Comment Will the first crewed Starship to Mars launch within 4 years as Elon Musk says? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : resolve YES if a crewed starship that attempts to land on mars or orbit mars launches by the end of 2028