Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 89.9%
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète7 févr. 24, 22:18 UTC1 mars 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Dancing Plague return before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Dancing Plague return before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Dancing Plague return before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Jose Luis Ricon get the bubonic plague by 9999?
Manifold MarketsMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
PolymarketHow many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if the dancing plague returns before January 1st, 2029.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-0434665d77eb
- @/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-8270051dd717 (this question)
- @/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo-d5d68a482594
- @/RemNi/will-the-dancing-plague-return-befo
Marchés ouverts
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Volume total
- 16,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 62,3 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+2.0pt96%
- Above 6000-1.0pt62%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 922,8 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETSkin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by which date?
- June 30,-1.0pt87%
- March 31,47%
- Volume total
- 44,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,1 k €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No98%
- Yes-1.4pt2%
- Volume total
- 1,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 2,7 k €
KALSHIWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- before April 202783%
- before 202776%
- before December71%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 20,4 k €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhat will Hims say during their next earnings call?
- Peptide90%
- Longevity90%
- Australia89%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2 k €
- Volume 24h
- Screwworm National Emergency declared by which date?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- New pandemic in 2026?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- Pandemic in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways' COMP360 Psilocybin?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the Dancing Plague return before 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89.9% au 23 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the Dancing Plague return before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the Dancing Plague return before 2029? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2029.
- Comment Will the Dancing Plague return before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if the dancing plague returns before January 1st, 2029.