Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75.6%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 26 minutes
3 févr. 25, 05:39 UTC1 sept. 30, 20:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Dallas Mavericks at Houston Rockets, Oct 21
Manifold MarketsHouston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks
FutuurWill Mark Cuban run for president before the Dallas Mavericks win the NBA Championship again?
Manifold MarketsWill Kyrie Irving be a Dallas Mavericks player on July 1st 2027?
Manifold MarketsHouston Rockets at Dallas Mavericks, Oct 30
Manifold MarketsMavericks vs. Rockets
PolymarketRègles
The Dallas Mavericks yesterday traded their superstar franchise player Luka Doncic, alongside Maxi Kleber and Markieff Morris to the LA Lakers for Anthony Davis, Max Christie and a 2029 FRP.
- This move has been widely considered as a shocking, franchise-alteringly bad move and maybe the worst trade in sports history - but could it actually pan out? This market is my subjective attempt to measure that.
- For the purposes of this market, Dallas will be considered to have "won" the trade if any of this happens before the start of the 2030-2031 NBA championship:
- The Mavs win an NBA championship with AD as a key member of the team (top 2 in playoffs PPG for his team)
- The Mavs reach 60% odds to win the NBA title at any point during the playoffs on Polymarket, even if they eventually don't win (this would be better than Luka did)
- AD wins MVP or (DPOY and first team All NBA)
