Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026?
Politique commercialeOne-OffPolitique américaineAmérique latine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 10:29 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 81.9%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète17 juil. 26, 04:14 UTC1 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market is about the U.S. 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil announced in July 2026 under Section 301.
- CNBC described the tariff as taking effect on July 22, 2026, with exemptions for some goods such as beef, orange juice, aircraft and parts, and energy products.
- Resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. has officially ended, suspended, or reduced this 25% Section 301 tariff so that it no longer applies to most Brazilian goods.
- Resolves NO if, on December 31, 2026, the 25% tariff is still in effect for most Brazilian goods.
- Small product-specific exemptions do not count unless the tariff is broadly removed, suspended, or reduced for most Brazilian goods.