Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026?
Trade PolicyOne-OffUS PoliticsLatin America3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 71.2%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète17 juil. 26, 04:14 UTC1 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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ForecastExRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market is about the U.S. 25% tariff on most imports from Brazil announced in July 2026 under Section 301.
- CNBC described the tariff as taking effect on July 22, 2026, with exemptions for some goods such as beef, orange juice, aircraft and parts, and energy products.
- Resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, the U.S. has officially ended, suspended, or reduced this 25% Section 301 tariff so that it no longer applies to most Brazilian goods.
- Resolves NO if, on December 31, 2026, the 25% tariff is still in effect for most Brazilian goods.
- Small product-specific exemptions do not count unless the tariff is broadly removed, suspended, or reduced for most Brazilian goods.
Marchés ouverts
Trade PolicyKALSHISouth Carolina ports total container volume in 2026
- Above 2.2 million TEUs94%
- Above 2.3 million TEUs84%
- Above 2.4 million TEUs56%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 13,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 3156.5%
- October 3130.6%
- September 30+3.0pt13%
+1 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 307%
+3 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
- Canadian aircraft+11.0pt35%
- Wind turbines23%
- Critical minerals-29.0pt11%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,3 k €
POLYMARKETWill Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
- No+4.0pt77%
- Yes-4.0pt23%
- Volume total
- 17,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 556,6 €
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes-5.0pt72%
- No28%
- Volume total
- 1,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 543,1 €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will the U.S. remove its 25% tariffs on most Brazilian goods by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria