Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 50.8%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète4 nov. 25, 17:45 UTC31 déc. 27, 17:33 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla's steering-wheel-less Cybercab give rides to the public in Dallas by November 30, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen the first windowless/partially windowless, autonomous car without steering wheel and with reversed seats launches?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release Optimus by which date?
PolymarketWill Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
KalshiWill Elon Musk's Tesla release a super long-term battery or breakthrough energy technology that lasts months or years wi
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will Tesla release a production Cybercab with a steering wheel?
- Elon Musk has emphasized designing the Cybercab as a "clean robotaxi" without compromise and without a steering wheel.
- Tesla chairwoman Robin Denholm stated that Tesla plans to add a steering wheel and pedals to the Cybercab if needed.
- Evidence from Tesla's road-testing prototypes with added controls supports feasibility, and @Farzyness predicts the Cybercab production line will yield a drivable variant with steering wheel and pedals to maximize capacity and address regulatory/demand realities, contrasting Elon Musk's continued emphasis on a control-free robotaxi design.
- Resolution criteria This market resolves YES if Tesla releases any production Cybercab variant with a steering wheel and pedals.
- This includes both full production models and limited variants.