PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 3%-0.1pt
Qualité du marché
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
163,6 €
Liquidité
4,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
2.7% / 3.0%
Écart
0.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
15
Variation 7j
-1.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
26 sept. 25, 17:28 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
KalshiWill Elon Musk's Tesla release a super long-term battery or breakthrough energy technology that lasts months or years wi
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Tesla first release an electric van or minivan?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced.
- Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
- To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit.
- Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice.
Marchés ouverts
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6 k €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 736,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6 k €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 résultats de plus
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Tesla release Optimus by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote December 31 à 3% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Tesla release Optimus by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Tesla release Optimus by which date? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Tesla release Optimus by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.