Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 05:11 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Starship reaches space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028 96.6%En tête parmi 4 options
Starship reaches space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028 96.6%Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète31 oct. 23, 19:39 UTC1 janv. 28, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a human land on the moon Io?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRègles
This is a "market for markets".
- Artemis III is the only crewed Moon landing scheduled for before 2028, but there have been fears that if Starship is delayed the mission may not fly.
- The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/jack/will-starship-reach-space-in-2023)(https://manifold.markets/embed/StanPinsent/will-a-human-land-on-the-moon-by-20)
