Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 57.1%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 heures
Obsolète27 nov. 25, 00:42 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Putin attend the G20 Summit in the US in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
PolymarketWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
LimitlessSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketWill South Africa become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel attack South Africa before end of 2026
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- The 2026 G20 Leaders' Summit will be held December 14-15, 2026, at Trump National Doral Miami.
- This market resolves YES if a South African cabinet minister.
- Resolution will be determined by official G20 attendance records and credible news reporting of the summit.
- South Africa is one of 19 G20 member countries, making attendance at the annual summit a standard expectation for member states.
- South Africa currently holds the G20 presidency through November 2025 and recently hosted the 2025 summit in Johannesburg.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt98%
- $25M+0.8pt95%
- $50M+10.0pt95%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 855,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 683,4 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-0.4pt97.1%
- Dan McKee+2.3pt2.9%
- Gregory Stevens0%
- Volume total
- 620,1 k €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 215,2 k €
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+2.8pt57.6%
- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt28.3%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt7.1%
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 57% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will South Africa attend the 2026 G20 Summit in the US? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria