Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.1%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète16 mai 26, 06:31 UTC16 mai 28, 06:26 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will there be a slay the spire, the board game, version in the steam store?
Manifold MarketsWill an available out-of-the-box LLM get >40% win rate on Slay the Spire A20 before August 2027?
Manifold MarketsLLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsLLM agent is able to reliably beat Slay the Spire 2 before EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsTop Artist on Spotify U.S. 2026
Kalshi#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if Act 4 is released to a publicly playable branch before any new alternate acts are released to a publicly playable branch.
- Renaming or reworking a current act doesn't count as a new alternate act.
- Resolves to 50% if they released at the same time in the same patch.