Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030?
InflationOne-Off4aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 64%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète24 nov. 22, 12:08 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the UK have a Land Value Tax that raises over £10Bn inflation adjusted by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy end of 2030, will any US company be worth $10 trillion, in inflation adjusted 2022 dollars?
Manifold MarketsWill Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in September?
PolymarketCPI in August
KalshiFed rate hike by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics
- (all predictions are conditional on no singularity or global catastrophe)
Marchés ouverts
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 89,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7 M €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 541,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 30,7 k €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 334,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,8 k €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 77,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will semaglutide (or an alternative) cost less than $100/month (inflation-adjusted) without insurance in 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Creating markets for @ScottAlexander's predictions here: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/semaglutidonomics