Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 70.2%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète22 oct. 25, 17:53 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Scott Wiener win the California 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExSan Francisco CD 11: Scott Wiener - Connie Chan margin, November 2026
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Scott Wiener is declared the official winner of the general election for California's 11th congressional district in the 2026 U.S. House elections, scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
- Resolution will be based on the certified results published by the California Secretary of State.
- Scott Wiener is currently a Democratic member of the California State Senate, representing the 11th district, which includes San Francisco and parts of San Mateo County.
- He was first elected to the State Senate in 2016 and re-elected in 2020 and 2024.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 70.2% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Scott Wiener wins the 2026 House election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria