Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffGéopolitiqueRussia / Ukraine3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.4%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète28 juil. 26, 06:17 UTC31 déc. 26, 19:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new wave of public military mobilization is conducted in Russia before the end of 2026, and to "No" otherwise.
- The previous wave of partial mobilization was announced by President Vladimir Putin on September 21, 2022, and resulted in approximately 300,000 reservists being called up.
- That mobilization was officially declared complete by Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu on October 28, 2022, with no further measures planned at that time.
- For the purposes of this market, a "new wave of public military mobilization" means an official, publicly announced mobilization decree by the Russian government ordering the compulsory call-up of military reservists or conscripts beyond routine annual conscription cycles.
- Rumors, covert preparations, legislative changes, or unofficial statements about potential mobilization do not count as resolution events.
- Resolution sources: This market will be resolved based on official reports from BBC (bbc.com) or CNN (cnn.com) confirming that a new wave of public mobilization has been formally announced and is being carried out in Russia.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 70% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Russia conduct a new wave of public military mobilization before the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new wave of public military mobilization is conducted in Russia before the end of 2026, and to "No" otherwise.