Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.4%
Prévisionnistes
71
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète18 sept. 22, 18:59 UTC1 janv. 00, 06:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Ron DeSantis win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExWill Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run in 2026?
KalshiWill Ron DeSantis be elected President in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ever be US President?
Manifold MarketsWill the next elected US president be a woman?
PolymarketWhich party's candidate will become US President after the election in 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Ron DeSantis is ever elected President of the United States.
- Otherwise, resolves NO when he dies, or the US ceases to exist.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Ron DeSantis ever be US President? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Ron DeSantis ever be US President? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Ron DeSantis ever be US President? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2100.
- Comment Will Ron DeSantis ever be US President? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Ron DeSantis is ever elected President of the United States.