Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Democratic Party 60.2%En tête parmi 3 options
Democratic Party 60.2%Prévisionnistes
39
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète29 déc. 23, 19:18 UTC29 oct. 28, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 become president by the end of 2028?
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Gavin Newsom run for President in the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Which party's candidate will become US President in 2028?
- "the named outcome" includes a third-party candidate, no candidate being elected, etc. Resolves to the party whose candidate is sworn in in January 2029.
- The question's closing date will not change, and is set to about 10 days before the 2028 election, which is the time when early voting begins in many states.
- Resolution date may not be until the candidate is sworn in.
