Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Democratic Party 58.7%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète29 déc. 23, 19:18 UTC29 oct. 28, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
0.4%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump's vice president candidate in 2024 become president by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Party Nominee for President for the 2028 election?
Manifold Markets🗣️Who will run for president in the 2028 election? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExRègles
Which party's candidate will become US President in 2028?
- "the named outcome" includes a third-party candidate, no candidate being elected, etc. Resolves to the party whose candidate is sworn in in January 2029.
- The question's closing date will not change, and is set to about 10 days before the 2028 election, which is the time when early voting begins in many states.
- Resolution date may not be until the candidate is sworn in.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which party's candidate will become US President after the election in 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democratic Party à 59% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which party's candidate will become US President after the election in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which party's candidate will become US President after the election in 2028? doit être résolu le 29 octobre 2028.
- Comment Which party's candidate will become US President after the election in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Which party's candidate will become US President in 2028?