Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 97.5%
Prévisionnistes
25
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard18 sept. 23, 07:29 UTC1 janv. 27, 06:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
Currently Rocket Lab is planning on sending an atomospheric probe to Venus with a target launch date of January 2025:
- https://venuscloudlife.com/small-mission/
- https://www.rocketlabusa.com/missions/upcoming-missions/first-private-mission-to-venus/
- This market resolve YES if Rocket Lab succesfully delivers any kind of atmospheric measurement probe into the Venusian atmosphere by the end of 2026.
- The probe does not need to successfully collect data or function; it just needs to actually enter the atmosphere.
- I have chosen a close time of 2026 to accomodate both the travel time to Venus and smaller delays.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Currently Rocket Lab is planning on sending an atomospheric probe to Venus with a target launch date of January 2025: