Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.9%
Prévisionnistes
55
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète28 févr. 26, 20:20 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
PolymarketWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill Reza Pahlavi visit Iran in 2026?
KalshiWill the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026?
KalshiUS recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 98% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.