Will "RA x ControlAI video: What if AI just keeps g..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
IAOne-Off3mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 86%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète2 avr. 26, 20:10 UTC1 févr. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?
PolymarketWill AI just plateau/stall and never reach full AGI/ASI level ?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?
PolymarketWill photo/video "AI detection" meaningfully exist in December 2028?
Manifold MarketsRègles
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post RA x ControlAI video: What if AI just keeps getting smarter? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
