Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 23 oct. 2026, 22:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 oct. 26, 08:09 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
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Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if as of 23:59 UTC on December 31, 2026 the highest Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score among models in AA's "Small (4B–40B)" open-weights category belongs to a Qwen model.
- Resolves YES if a Qwen model is tied for the highest score.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Source: https://artificialanalysis.ai/models/open-source/small, using the Intelligence Index version current at resolution time.
- - Small model: any model AA itself places in its Small category.
- - Qwen model: a model released by Alibaba / the Qwen team whose name contains "Qwen" in its name (e.g., Qwen3.8 27B, Qwen4 32B).