Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlectionGéopolitique2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 69%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète30 nov. 25, 02:47 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will JD Vance be impeached during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)?
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketWill Pete Hegseth be impeached by EOY 2027
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
The Secretary of War William Belknap was impeached even after resigning in 1876.
- Will Peter Hegseth follow suit?
- Resolves YES on impeachment, regardless of what the Senate does.
- If he leaves office in other manner or serves the whole Trump term, without an impeachment process having been initiated, resolves NO.
- Any impeachment process started in the timeframe can result in YES, when the process ends, is not material.
- Update 2026-04-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Introducing articles of impeachment alone is not sufficient to resolve YES.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : The Secretary of War William Belknap was impeached even after resigning in 1876.