Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Completes full term 78.8%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
160
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 34 minutes
13 juin 25, 17:31 UTC21 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump be revealed to have a major medical condition before the end of his second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump become a de facto authoritarian ruler of the United States by the end of his presidential term by dism
Manifold MarketsJavier Milei to complete his presidential term in Argentina?
FutuurSantiago Peña to complete his presidential term in Paraguay?
FutuurWill Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.
- Staying in office beyond January 20, 2029 for any reason will not count as completing a full term.
- the named outcome Trump leaves office before January 20, 2029 by resignation, impeachment, 25th Amendment process, legal action, incapacity, voluntary hand-over, exile, coup, or any other non-fatal removal, and remains alive.
- If Trump is still claiming presidential authority after Jan 20, 2029, thus not ‘completing’ his term, the market will resolve to this option.
- the named outcome
- Trump dies from disease, aging, or any internal medical cause while serving as President.
Marchés ouverts
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Completes full term à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? doit être résolu le 21 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Donald Trump complete his second presidential term (2025–2029)? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : the named outcome Trump remains President and alive through January 20, 2029, and peacefully transfers power on that date as required by the Constitution.