Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNot before 31 December 2030 79.8%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète21 déc. 25, 05:14 UTC21 déc. 30, 05:12 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever go to prison/jail? 🇮🇱👩⚖️🏛️
Manifold MarketsPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
PolymarketPete Hegseth departure announced?
KalshiPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?
PolymarketPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on whether Pete Hegseth is convicted and imprisoned for any crime by December 31, 2030.
- The specific year of imprisonment determines which answer resolves yes.
- If Hegseth is imprisoned in multiple years, the market resolves to the earliest year.
- The market resolves to "the named outcome" if no imprisonment occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official court records and credible news reporting of a conviction and subsequent incarceration.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Pete Hegseth go to prison? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Not before 31 December 2030 à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Pete Hegseth go to prison? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Pete Hegseth go to prison? doit être résolu le 21 décembre 2030.
- Comment Will Pete Hegseth go to prison? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria