Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026?
PolitiqueGéopolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.1%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
10 mars 26, 19:42 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution Criteria
- Pete Hegseth is currently the Secretary War, having been sworn in on January 25, 2025, as the 29th Secretary of Defense before the department's name was changed on September 5, 2025.
- This market resolves YES if Hegseth holds the position of Secretary of War on December 31, 2026, and NO if he does not.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the official U.S. Department of War website (https://www.war.gov/About/Secretary-of-War/) or official government announcements regarding the Secretary of War's identity on that date.
- The Secretary of War is the head of the United States Department of Defense and is a high-ranking member of the cabinet of the United States.
- In September 2025, President Donald Trump authorized "secretary of war" as a secondary title for use by the secretary of defense.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Pete Hegseth be the Secretary of War on 12/31/2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria