Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 53.4%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 51 minutes
En retard25 mai 26, 13:18 UTC1 juil. 28, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Pauline Hanson become Australian prime minister before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill Pauline Hanson meet Donald Trump face-to-face in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Pauline Hanson wear a burqa again in 2026?
Polymarket120th Congress: Who will run for House Republican leader?
Kalshi120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader?
KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if Pauline Hanson is on a ballot as a candidate for a lower house seat in the 2028 Australian federal election (or another election before then) according to the AEC or ABC reporting.
- She does not need to win, just run.
- Still resolves YES if she runs before the 2028 lower house election, e.g. in a by-election.