Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBob Katter 91.6%En tête parmi 17 options
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète27 avr. 26, 06:56 UTC21 mai 28, 06:46 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhat combination of parties will form executive government after the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the House seat for Ohio's 7th congressional district (OH-7) in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria
- Each option in this market will resolve YES if the person in question nominates as a candidate at the next general election for the Australian House of Representatives.
- Each option in this market will otherwise resolve NO.
- Clarifications
- The close date is subject to change.
- The resolution of this market will be informed by the Australian Electoral Commission.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Bob Katter à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election? doit être résolu le 21 mai 2028.
- Comment Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria