Prévision communautaire actuelle
Labor 64.7%-0.5ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
27 janv. 26, 11:02 UTC31 mai 28, 00:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will run for a lower house seat at the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWhat combination of parties will form executive government after the next Australian federal election?
Manifold MarketsWill the Australian Labor Party win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives at the next federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiNext German federal election winner?
KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRègles
Settles to the party that supplies the prime minister after the next Australian federal election, which must be held before May 21st, 2028.
- Only the party of the prime minister is relevant, even if a coalition forms government.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Labor à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election? doit être résolu le 31 mai 2028.
- Comment Who will win the 2028 Australian federal election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Settles to the party that supplies the prime minister after the next Australian federal election, which must be held before May 21st, 2028.