Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 78.5%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète4 juin 26, 23:33 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
Manifold MarketsWill The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
Manifold MarketsLargest party in the next New Zealand general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
KalshiNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
2026 New Zealand general election - Wikipedia
- [link preview]currently, that means they’d need to win an electorate or get over 5% of the party vote.
- Win prizes by trading on this market: https://manifold.markets/post/prize-pool-of-5500-mana-for-the-202?r=SmFjazE
- More markets about the NZ election:
- https://manifold.markets/topic/nz-election-26-challenge?r=SmFjazE
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 79% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : 2026 New Zealand general election - Wikipedia