Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 80%
Prévisionnistes
19
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard17 juin 25, 05:48 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill The Opportunities Party get a higher party vote percent than any of ACT, NZ First or greens?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected New Zealand Prime Minister in the next election?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketNew Zealand Election: Turnout
PolymarketNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRègles
Elected referring to the party crossing the party vote threshold (currently set at 5%) or having a candidate win an electorate.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 80% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election? sera-t-il résolu ?
- The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment The Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Elected referring to the party crossing the party vote threshold (currently set at 5%) or having a candidate win an electorate.