Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 54.8%
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 heures
Obsolète21 mai 26, 15:06 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Delaware raise its corporate franchise tax?
KalshiWill Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
KalshiHow much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if OpenDroids (as associated with jackjay.io) publicly announces or discloses via regulatory filing, reputable financial news outlet, or official company statement that it has raised more than $2,000,000 in total external funding (equity, convertible notes, or similar) by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2028.
- Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
- If the company is acquired or ceases operations before this date without having reached the $2 million threshold, the market resolves to NO.
- In the event of ambiguity regarding funding amounts or public disclosure, the creator may resolve based on the best available evidence from primary sources.
- OpenDroids is a project associated with Jack Jay (jackjay.io).
Marchés ouverts
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-5.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T20%
- $1.75T–$2.0T19.1%
- $1.5T–$1.75T18.1%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 96,6 k €
- How many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- Conference to Win the National Championship
- Will California authorize an alternative wage or other qualifying relief from goat-herder wage and overtime obligations before Oct 1, 2026?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment Will OpenDroids (https://jackjay.io/) raise > $2 Million by EOY2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria