Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027?
One-OffIARégulationUS Politics3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète3 sept. 26, 09:19 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.
- This market asks whether the U.S. government will subsequently restrict Astra, including after its release, similar to its restrictions on Anthropic’s Fable.
- The market resolves:
- YES if the U.S. government materially restricts Astra’s availability or use before January 1, 2027.
- NO if Astra is released and no such restriction occurs.
- Government criticism or investigations without an actual restriction do not count.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 92% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.