Will OpenAI’s Astra face U.S. government restrictions before January 1, 2027?
One-OffIARégulationPolitique américaine2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 93.1%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 48 minutes
En retard3 sept. 26, 09:19 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
OpenAI has said its upcoming Astra model reaches its “Critical” cybersecurity capability threshold.
- This market asks whether the U.S. government will subsequently restrict Astra, including after its release, similar to its restrictions on Anthropic’s Fable.
- The market resolves:
- YES if the U.S. government materially restricts Astra’s availability or use before January 1, 2027.
- NO if Astra is released and no such restriction occurs.
- Government criticism or investigations without an actual restriction do not count.
