Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026?
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffGéopolitiqueMiddle EastChina21jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89%
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète21 août 26, 01:43 UTC30 sept. 26, 15:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Treasury announce sanctions on a Chinese bank?
KalshiUS reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
PolymarketUSD x Iranian rials End of September?
PolymarketWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadWill the Iranian Regime fall before October?
MyriadRègles
Resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the U.S. Treasury's OFAC newly designates a bank headquartered in mainland China and the designation explicitly cites facilitating trade with Iran or Iranian oil.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- Designations of non-bank companies, Hong Kong-only entities, or banks designated solely for unrelated conduct do not count.
- Primary source: OFAC sanctions programs and press releases.
- The market closes 12 hours before the deadline.
Marchés ouverts
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- Volume total
- 273,3 k €
- Volume 24h
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- 6,1 k €
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KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 5.17% or above99%
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- 6 k €
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KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.35% or above99%
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- 5,5 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,5 k €
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- 4.53% or above99%
- 4.47% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 5,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 5,1 k €
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- SOFR for September 8, 2026
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026? doit être résolu le 30 septembre 2026.
- Comment Will OFAC sanction a mainland Chinese bank for facilitating Iranian trade by September 30, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026, the U.S. Treasury's OFAC newly designates a bank headquartered in mainland China and the designation explicitly cites facilitating trade with Iran or Iranian oil.